Read the past
History cannot predict, but it can reveal risk.
11 articles in this rubric.
Without history, you cannot manage risk
History cannot promise profit, but it can expose repeated decisions, fear, euphoria and error.
Read article ↗Mt. Gox · June 19, 2011When an exchange printed a one-cent bitcoin price
The network kept working while a compromised venue showed the world a distorted market price.
Read article ↗Bitcoinica · March–July 2012Three breaches: the warning that was not enough
How repeated compromises turned a technical weakness into a crisis of custody, records, and responsibility.
Read article ↗Bitcoin Core · 2024–2026Fix First, Disclose Later
How a dangerous block-validation bug was repaired before details were published and disclosed after the vulnerable branch reached end of life.
Read article ↗BIP 66 · July 2015Six Confirmations That Never Existed
How miners signalled support for new rules while building on an invalid block.
Read article ↗Hypothesis · UTXO ageDormant Coins as an Issuance Buffer
A hypothesis about old, unmoved BTC—and why output age cannot prove key loss.
Read article ↗2018–2026 · Market periodsCrash, Silence, Acceleration: Bitcoin’s History by Period
What happened in 2018–2020, 2020–2021, 2021–2022, 2023–2024, and 2025–2026, without a price forecast.
Read article ↗Risk · Reserves, redemption, and trustWhen a “Stable” Coin Loses Its Stability
Why the same-looking depeg can mean a temporary liquidity break, a reserve problem, or the collapse of the design itself.
Read article ↗Mississippi and Alabama · May–August 2026Two Small Towns and One Miner: Why One Waits and the Other Protests
How the same technology became a possible utility customer in Amory and a source of conflict for residents near Somerville.
Read article ↗Liquid · September 6–11, 2026When the Signatures Were Real but the Coins Were Not
How an Elements bug allowed about 4,000 unbacked L-BTC to be created and why valid signatures did not stop a payout of real BTC.
Read article ↗Eclair · Release 0.14.3 · September 14, 2026When a Lightning Channel Peer Could Make You Overpay
Why Eclair 0.14.3 is a security release and how bugs in channel closing, splicing, and on-the-fly funding could affect a node's balance.
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