02
Read the past
History cannot predict, but it can reveal risk.
7 articles in this rubric.
The archive’s core idea
Without history, you cannot manage risk
History cannot promise profit, but it can expose repeated decisions, fear, euphoria and error.
Read article ↗Mt. Gox · June 19, 2011When an exchange printed a one-cent bitcoin price
The network kept working while a compromised venue showed the world a distorted market price.
Read article ↗Bitcoinica · March–July 2012Three breaches: the warning that was not enough
How repeated compromises turned a technical weakness into a crisis of custody, records, and responsibility.
Read article ↗BIP 66 · July 2015Six Confirmations That Never Existed
How miners signalled support for new rules while building on an invalid block.
Read article ↗Hypothesis · UTXO ageDormant Coins as an Issuance Buffer
A hypothesis about old, unmoved BTC—and why output age cannot prove key loss.
Read article ↗2018–2026 · Market periodsCrash, Silence, Acceleration: Bitcoin’s History by Period
What happened in 2018–2020, 2020–2021, 2021–2022, 2023–2024, and 2025–2026, without a price forecast.
Read article ↗Risk · Reserves, redemption, and trustWhen a “Stable” Coin Loses Its Stability
Why the same-looking depeg can mean a temporary liquidity break, a reserve problem, or the collapse of the design itself.
Read article ↗